New Genetics, Food & Agriculture: Scientific Discoveries - Societal Dilemmas

 

Chapter Six

Effects on Emerging Economies and Trade Implications

 

Scroll down to view full text or use quick links below

Overview
    
Box 6.1:  Conclusions of the UNDP Human Development Report 2001
Key Documents
Elements of Future Strategies

     Table 6.1
Demands for improved breeding of seven African crops  

Note: For all references cited within this chapter, direct links are provided to the appropriate section of the Annotated Bibliography

Back to Contents

 

Overview

The United Nations 2001 Human Development Report analysed the opportunities and the risks emerging from new technology developments in the biosciences, information and communications, and how these may be mobilised for the benefit of people in poor countries. The report concluded that there is an explosion of technological innovation in food, medicine and information, which, if harnessed effectively, could transform the lives of poor people.

The UNDP report further concluded that the challenge the world faces is to match the pace of technological innovation with policy innovation both nationally and globally. Without innovative public policy, these technologies could become a source of exclusion, not a tool of progress. The needs of poor people could remain neglected and new global risks left unmanaged. Yet, if managed well, the rewards could be much greater than the risks and deliver real benefits to poor people.  The main findings of the UNDP report are summarised in Box 6.1.  

Box 6.1:  Conclusions of the UNDP Human Development Report 2001 (UNDP 2001).

1. The technology divide does not have to follow the income divide. Throughout history, technology has been a powerful tool for human development and poverty reduction.

Investments in technology, like investments in education, can equip people with better tools and make them more productive and prosperous. Technology is a tool, not just a reward, for growth and development.

2. The market is a powerful engine of technological progress, but it is not powerful enough to create and diffuse the technologies needed to eradicate poverty.

Technology is created in response to market pressures, not the needs of poor people, who have little purchasing power. As a result research neglects opportunities to develop technology for poor people. Inadequate financing compounds the problem. Lack of intellectual property protection can discourage private investors.

3. Developing countries may gain especially high rewards from new technologies, but they also face especially severe challenges in managing the risks.

Consumers in countries with no food security problems tend to focus on food safety and environmental concerns. Farmers in developing countries tend to focus on increasing food production and reducing input costs. While some risks can be assessed and managed globally, others must take into account local considerations. Environmental risks are often specific to individual ecosystems and need to be assessed case by case. Technology-related problems are often the result of poor policies, inadequate regulation and lack of transparency. Lack of skilled personnel can constrain a country’s ability to create a strong regulatory system. The cost of establishing and maintaining a regulatory framework can also place a severe financial demand on poor countries.

4. The technology revolution and globalization are creating a network age and that is changing how technology is created and diffused.

Two simultaneous shifts in technology and economics are combining to create a new network age.  It also encourages migration of skilled workers, which generates a diaspora that can provide valuable networks of finance, business contacts and skill transfer for the home country.

5. Even in the network age, domestic policy still matters. All countries need to implement policies that encourage innovation, access and the development of advanced skills.

Not all countries need to be on the cutting edge of global technological advance but every country needs the capacity to understand and adapt global technologies for local needs. In this environment the key to a country’s success will be unleashing the creativity of its people.

6. National policies will not be sufficient to compensate for global market failures. New international initiatives and the fair use of global rules are needed to channel new technologies towards the most urgent needs of the world’s poor people.

The lesson is that at the global level it is policy, not charity, which will ultimately determine whether new technologies become a tool for human development everywhere.

Back to top

Key Documents

Several reviews of the implications of new developments in modern genetics for emerging economies agree that no single strategy is likely to be suitable for all countries, given the range of variation in country size, economic development, strength in science and technology, importance of the rural sector, extent of poverty, and issues in food security (e.g. ADB, 2001; Academies of Science, 2000; CGIAR 2000a, b; DANIDA, 2002; IDB 2002; IFPRI, 2001; ISNAR 2002b; UNDP 2001.)

However, there are several elements that need to be taken into account in developing strategies that make optimal use of new developments in technology, as part of overall approaches towards reducing poverty, increasing food security, conserving natural resources and improving trade competitiveness for emerging economies. The appropriate mix of these elements will depend on the situation in a particular country.

Back to top 

Elements of Future Strategies

Policy dialogue is needed with governments as to the importance of the rural sector, the need for public investments in rural development, including investments in the development of public goods for poor people and the need for governments to provide an enabling framework that encourages private sector investments in rural areas.

Priority species:  The continued availability of sufficient nutritious food at affordable prices for poor people is an essential component in ensuring food security and reducing poverty in the developing world.  Twelve species provide over 90% of the world’s food. These twelve (banana, barley, cassava, groundnut, maize, oilseed rape, potato, rice, sorghum, soybean, sweet potato, wheat) include the staple foods of the majority of the world’s population and provide almost all the food for the world’s poor people. There is also increasing demand for livestock, fish and forest products, as important sources of food and income.

While recognising that other species also play important roles at a regional and sub regional level, these key species could provide an initial set of priorities to assess how their productivity could be improved in different environments through the applications of modern genetics. 

Priority traits to address food security and poverty reduction:  Future food security will require producing more food on less land with less water, and with less reliance on chemical pesticides and fertilizers.  This will require crops that are able to make more efficient use of water and tolerate abiotic stresses, such as drought and salinity that reduce productivity in marginal lands. Pests, weeds and diseases also cause substantial pre and post harvest losses and the use of chemical pesticides for their control is both costly and environmental damaging.  Improving the nutritional quality of staple foods would also help address the problems of malnutrition especially important in women and children.

Examples of the traits that could enhance food security and reduce poverty are: 

·      Drought tolerance, especially in maize, rice and wheat that lack the inherent drought tolerance of sorghum and millets

·      Pest and disease resistance, especially for those pests and diseases that are presently controlled by the use of pesticides.

·      Post harvest quality to extend the shelf life and reduce post harvest losses of perishable commodities (eg banana, cassava, potato, sweet potato).

·      Improved nutritional quality (eg improving vitamin and mineral content of cereals)

·      Apomixis, an enabling trait that would enable seed to breed true (eg cassava).

Investment priorities:  In order to maximise the benefits that may be gained from public and private investments in biosciences in emerging economies, it is important to identify and invest in the priority species and the traits that would be most valuable to poor people living in different environments, rather than relying on spill overs of technologies developed primarily for other purposes elsewhere. There is also a need for identifying those priorities that require additional public investments and/or public-private partnerships for their development.  There is also a need to link research efforts with the development and delivery of new products that will make a difference to food security and poverty reduction in specific cases

Enhancing present applications in agriculture:  Discoveries in genetics and related sciences are contributing to improving the productivity and sustainability of agriculture today in many countries. Wider use could be made of such practical applications of plant biotechnology in emerging economies; for example by enabling: 

·      More targeted selection objectives and the use of molecular markers to enable early generation selection in breeding of improved strains. 

·      The molecular characterization of genetic resources

·      The improved diagnosis and management of parasites, pests and pathogens by the use of molecular diagnostics.

·      Use of improved micro-propagation techniques to develop clean planting materials, especially for vegetatively propagated crops.

Smarter plant breeding:  To fully realise the benefits of modern genetics, there needs to be viable plant breeding/crop improvement programs at the national and international levels that are able to develop locally adapted varieties with desirable traits. There also needs to be seed sectors able to produce and deliver quality seed of improved crop varieties to farmers. Regretfully both plant breeding and the seed sector are weak in many countries where food security is most at risk. The key targets for breeding in selected crops in Africa are summarised in Table 6.1 (De Vries and Toenniessen 2001; ISNAR 2002b). 

Table 6.1:  Demands for improved breeding of seven African crops    Source: De Vries & Toenniessen 2001

 

Maize

Sorghum

Pearl millet

Rice

Cowpea

Cassava

Banana

 

Drought
resistance

 

Resistance to downy mildew

 

Resistance to downy mildew

 

Drought

 

Virus resistance

 

Early bulking,

 

Development of Sigatoka

Nutrient use efficiency

 

Phosphorous

 

Resistance

 

Increased

 

National

Improved root quality

 

Identification

Multiple resistance

Insect resistance

 

Resistance

 

Increased

Insect resistance

 

Improvement to mid-altitude

 

Multi-location

Resistance

 

Resistance

 

Development

 

Rapid

Transformation and gene

 

Pest and

Further

 

Postharvest

 

Pest/

 

Bird resistance

 

Increased

Identification of resistance

 

Decentralisation

 

Striga resistance

 

Striga resistance

 

Striga resistance

 

 

Improved

Improved nutritional

 

 

Heterosis

Study of farmer varietal preferences

 

Gene flow

 

Characterization

 

 

Seed systems

 

 

 

 

 

Back to top

More targeted public investment is required in modern plant breeding, nationally and internationally, to develop the public goods that will not come from private investments in plant biotechnology and plant breeding. Private investments are primarily concentrated on developing products for markets in industrial countries.

Seed sector:  Countries need to have a suitable enabling environment to encourage the development of the private seed sector.  This includes suitable intellectual property management, such as plant variety protection or other sui generis systems. 

Cultivation of transgenic crops: Some countries are exploring the options for the targeted introduction of transgenic crop varieties. The present applications of transgenic crops in emerging economies are largely locally adapted spill overs of technologies developed for broad scale agriculture elsewhere, with traits for insect resistance and herbicide tolerance being most widely available. The most widespread transgenic product in emerging economies is cotton modified for insect resistance (Bt cotton), which is being cultivated by some 5 million cotton farmers in China, and a smaller number in South Africa. Bt cotton has demonstrated economic, social, human and environmental health benefits that have been documented in China and South Africa (Pray et al 2002). 

Importance of genomics for gene discovery: New developments in genomics are seen as the basis for future gene discovery. It is important that the basic information on the genome structure of the world’s staple crops and other agriculturally important species is available in the public domain, able to be used for studying the function of genes, and understanding their role in the control of important traits. This is critical for addressing the constraints in those species and/or traits in which the private sector is unlikely to invest. 

State of the genomes: There is a need for a systematic assessment of the status of the genomic information of the world’s major food species, who is generating genomic data, who has access to the data, who has the capabilities to use the data in future crop and livestock improvement and what additional investments are required.  Such an assessment may provide the basis for ensuring that the genomes of the world’s major food species are molecularly mapped, and that this information is available to those concerned with improving the use of these species for food security and poverty reduction. 

Capacity building: Many people from emerging economies have been trained in various aspects of genetics and biotechnology. A large proportion, perhaps more than 50%, are no longer working in their home countries, largely due to lack of career opportunities, poor infrastructure and limited financial resources for R&D. More support to these scientists would enable more to continue working in their own countries while also enabling them to have access to the latest developments worldwide through modern communications technology (UNDP 2001).

Biosafety and regulatory systems: Substantial multilateral and bilateral resources are being directed towards building capacity in biosafety and establishing regulatory systems to manage the products of biotechnology in emerging economies, especially genetically modified organisms (GMOs). These programs are designed to help countries meet their obligations under the Convention on Biological Diversity and its Cartagena Protocol on Biosafety (e.g. UNEP/GEF programs) (ISNAR 2002a).

These efforts on building capacity in biosafety need to be complemented by assessments of the risks and benefits of specific applications of biotechnology, including but not restricted to genetically modified organisms. These assessments may include the preparation of dossiers on potential products that summarise the data and other information needed by regulatory authorities to make informed decisions. 

There is also a need for harmonization of guidelines, legislation and best practices for the regulation of the safe use of biotechnology in agriculture and the environment.  This may best be done initially at the regional and sub regional level where the benefits of regulatory harmonization are most evident. 

Trade implications of biotechnology policies and regulations for emerging economies:  Biotechnology’s most important contributions in emerging economies may be allowing the expansion of production of major crops without increasing the pressure on fragile environments. It is also likely to be important in increasing opportunities for agro-industrialization that may arise from increased production and diversification of crops (IDB 2002).

Biotechnology also holds potential for improving the competitiveness of agricultural production in world markets, as well as reducing the incidence of urban and rural poverty, since that the nutritional and income status of the poor are highly dependent on the efficiency of staple food crop production (IDB 2002).

However, in order for developing countries to realise these benefits, an increasingly important policy issue is the effect that restrictive regulatory regimes for genetically modified organisms are having on emerging economies. Some countries are not pursuing the use of new technologies in agriculture; even for producing more food for domestic consumption, in case this affects their access to present or future export markets for other products. 

Back to top